| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.8% | 52% | +4.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.5% | 65.4% |
| logistic | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Aleksandar Vukic | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1700 | 1677 |
| Surface Elo | 1700 | 1677 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 37 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Aug | H | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Aleksandar Vukic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Aleksandar Vukic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Aug | A | Gabriel Diallo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Alexander Blockx | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | 1 - 2 | Kyrian Jacquet |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | 2 - 0 | Kyrian Jacquet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.88 | 53.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 23 Sep 06:15 |