| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.7% | 68% | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.9% | 40.9% |
| logistic | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Moez Echargui | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1575 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1575 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.27 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Oliver Tarvet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | James Beaven | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mark Ceban | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Calvin Mueller | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |