| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.4% | 47% | +5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Arthur Fery | Marin Cilic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1802 | 1800 |
| Surface Elo | 1802 | 1800 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 38 | 53 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | James Duckworth | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Mees Rottgering | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Cruz Hewitt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Dillon Beckles | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Daniel Merida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | A | Frances Tiafoe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Aug | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |