| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 55% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.2% | 59.7% |
| logistic | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| Ryuki Matsuda | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1436 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1436 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Mukund Sasikumar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Betov, Sergey | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Yusuke Takahashi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Christopher Papa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Kasidit Samrej | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |