| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.4% | 64% | -1.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.0% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| Hynek Barton | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1647 | 1594 |
| Surface Elo | 1647 | 1594 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Petr Nesterov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Hynek Barton | 0 - 1 | Maxim Mrva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |