OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-12
🎾 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia Men Singles · Monday 12 October 2026, 22:00 UTC · finished
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 1.80 0 - 1 1.80 Felipe Meligeni Alves
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 51.9%50%+1.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov47.3%52.7%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost50.9%49.1%
logistic49.3%50.7%
Inputs the models saw
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoFelipe Meligeni Alves
Elo (pre-match)15761613
Surface Elo15761613
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game2.331.80
Season goals for / game1.441.00
Season goals against / game0.780.60
Rest days43
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: last 5
12 OctAFelipe Meligeni Alves0 - 1L
08 OctHLautaro Midon1 - 2L
06 OctHVillalon Valdes, Nicolas2 - 0W
05 OctHLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez2 - 1W
05 OctHLautaro Midon1 - 2L
Felipe Meligeni Alves: last 5
12 OctHFrancisco Comesana0 - 2L
12 OctHJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo1 - 0W
09 OctAThiago Seyboth Wild0 - 2L
07 OctANick Hardt2 - 0W
06 OctHJuan Pablo Varillas1 - 0W
Head to head
12 Oct 2026Felipe Meligeni Alves1 - 0Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
30 Mar 2026Felipe Meligeni Alves2 - 1Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7557.1%12 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC