OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Belgium Pro League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Genk 1.20 3 - 0 0.60 Kortrijk
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.9%68%-8.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 84.3%88%-4.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 77.9%85%-6.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.9%64%-9.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson71.3%18.2%10.5%
xgboost61.9%21.7%16.5%
logistic66.8%21.1%12.1%
Inputs the models saw
GenkKortrijk
Elo (pre-match)16151416
Surface Elo16151416
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend0.40-0.60
Season points per game0.003.00
Season goals for / game0.001.00
Season goals against / game3.000.00
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W3 W · 0 D
Genk: last 5
03 OctHFortuna Sittard1 - 2L
20 SepAClub Brugge0 - 3L
20 SepAClub Brugge0 - 3L
13 SepHGent1 - 1D
06 SepAAnderlecht0 - 0D
Kortrijk: last 5
20 SepHBeveren1 - 0W
20 SepHWaasland-Beveren1 - 0W
13 SepARAAL La Louviere0 - 3L
06 SepHWaregem0 - 2L
03 SepAAnderlecht0 - 1L
Head to head
07 Dec 2024Genk3 - 2Kortrijk
05 Oct 2024Kortrijk2 - 1Genk
17 Dec 2023Genk4 - 0Kortrijk
29 Oct 2023Kortrijk0 - 3Genk
26 Dec 2022Kortrijk1 - 0Genk
08 Oct 2022Genk2 - 1Kortrijk
27 Feb 2022Genk2 - 0Kortrijk
07 Aug 2021Kortrijk1 - 2Genk
09 Jan 2021Kortrijk2 - 1Genk
19 Dec 2020Genk2 - 0Kortrijk
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away6.4415.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.9020.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4768.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5763.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC