| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.2% | 64% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 56.6% | 43.3% |
| logistic | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Qinwen Zheng | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1776 | 1769 |
| Surface Elo | 1776 | 1769 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 34 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Han Shi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Emma Navarro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Anna Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | Qinwen Zheng |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Anna Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | Qinwen Zheng |
| 21 Feb 2022 | Anna Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | Qinwen Zheng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |