| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.6% | 69% | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.7% | 64.1% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Marina Bassols Ribera | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1409 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1409 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Despina Papamichail | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Laura Pigossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Kristina Liutova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alice Tubello | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Sofia Costoulas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Alina Charaeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Erika Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |