| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.1% | 37% | +14.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 77.9% | 77% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.9% | 53% | +13.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 57% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.9% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 36.1% | 20.4% |
| logistic | 40.7% | 13.6% | 45.7% |
| Pro Vercelli | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1313 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1313 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3073 | 888 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Brescia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Carpi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | AS Giana Erminio | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Sep | A | AC Trento | 0 - 4 | L |
| 18 May | A | Cittadella | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Alcione Milano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Venezia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Brescia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Cittadella | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | US Pergolettese Crema | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.87 | 53.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.87 | 53.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |