OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-03
🎾 ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles · Saturday 03 October 2026, 08:10 UTC · finished
Ugo Humbert 1.20 1 - 2 1.80 Jiri Lehecka
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.9%66%-8.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov42.6%57.4%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost47.7%52.2%
logistic43.1%56.9%
Inputs the models saw
Ugo HumbertJiri Lehecka
Elo (pre-match)18561954
Surface Elo18561954
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game2.002.00
Season goals against / game0.001.00
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Ugo Humbert: last 5
03 OctAJiri Lehecka1 - 2L
01 OctABrandon Nakashima2 - 0W
01 OctABrandon Nakashima2 - 0W
16 AugAMichael Zheng0 - 2L
06 AugADaniel Merida0 - 2L
Jiri Lehecka: last 5
03 OctHUgo Humbert2 - 1W
30 SepHZizou Bergs2 - 1W
30 SepHZizou Bergs2 - 1W
04 SepHStefanos Tsitsipas1 - 3L
02 SepHToby Samuel3 - 0W
Head to head
03 Oct 2026Jiri Lehecka2 - 1Ugo Humbert
24 Feb 2025Jiri Lehecka0 - 2Ugo Humbert
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5265.8%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6537.7%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC