| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 46% | +4.5% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.6% | 74% | +3.7% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.2% | 63% | +4.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 51% | +1.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.1% | 26.5% | 33.4% |
| xgboost | 48.7% | 31.3% | 19.9% |
| logistic | 56.1% | 25.3% | 18.7% |
| Bournemouth | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1770 | 1745 |
| Surface Elo | 1770 | 1745 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Aston Villa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Man Utd | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Manchester United | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Ac Milan | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sunderland | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Sunderland | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Sunderland | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Oldham | 2 - 4 | L |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Bournemouth | 2 - 2 | Leeds |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Leeds | 2 - 2 | Bournemouth |
| 30 Apr 2023 | Bournemouth | 4 - 1 | Leeds |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Leeds | 4 - 3 | Bournemouth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.48 | 28.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.54 | 28.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.22 | 45.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.99 | 50.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |