| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.7% | 33.5% |
| xgboost | 57.7% | 41.3% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Washington Capitals | New York Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1494 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1494 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.67 | 3.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.67 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 3 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 2 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 5 - 2 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 2 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Boston Bruins | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Apr 2026 | New York Rangers | 8 - 1 | Washington Capitals |
| 31 Dec 2025 | Washington Capitals | 6 - 3 | New York Rangers |
| 24 Dec 2025 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 7 | New York Rangers |
| 12 Oct 2025 | New York Rangers | 0 - 1 | Washington Capitals |
| 06 Mar 2025 | New York Rangers | 2 - 3 | Washington Capitals |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Washington Capitals | 7 - 4 | New York Rangers |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Washington Capitals | 5 - 3 | New York Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||