OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-27
⚽ Italy Serie A · Tuesday 27 October 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
Sassuolo 0.80 2 - 6 2.60 Lazio
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 48.4%44%+4.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.7%75%+1.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 62.3%60%+2.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.3%60%+2.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.8%26.4%41.8%
xgboost27.5%22.6%50.0%
logistic27.6%26.2%46.2%
Inputs the models saw
SassuoloLazio
Elo (pre-match)16181784
Surface Elo16181784
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.60
Form trend0.60-0.40
Season points per game0.333.00
Season goals for / game1.002.67
Season goals against / game2.330.67
Rest days32
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Sassuolo: last 5
24 OctAComo0 - 2L
24 OctAComo0 - 2L
16 OctAFrosinone2 - 4L
16 OctAFrosinone2 - 4L
11 OctHAc Milan1 - 1D
Lazio: last 5
27 OctHSudtirol2 - 0W
24 OctHParma2 - 1W
24 OctHParma2 - 1W
18 OctAJuventus3 - 0W
18 OctAJuventus3 - 0W
Head to head
09 Mar 2026Lazio2 - 1Sassuolo
14 Sep 2025Sassuolo1 - 0Lazio
26 May 2024Lazio1 - 1Sassuolo
21 Oct 2023Sassuolo0 - 2Lazio
03 May 2023Lazio2 - 0Sassuolo
15 Jan 2023Sassuolo0 - 2Lazio
02 Apr 2022Lazio2 - 1Sassuolo
12 Dec 2021Sassuolo2 - 1Lazio
23 May 2021Sassuolo2 - 0Lazio
24 Jan 2021Lazio2 - 1Sassuolo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1845.9%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7426.7%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.4029.4%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6261.7%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%27 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:19 UTC