OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Super Lig · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Rizespor 1.40 0 - 3 2.00 Fenerbahce
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 54.6%62%-7.1%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 78.7%88%-9.7%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 70.5%81%-10.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.7%60%-6.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson20.6%21.8%57.6%
xgboost24.8%27.6%47.6%
logistic19.0%23.6%57.4%
Inputs the models saw
RizesporFenerbahce
Elo (pre-match)15701770
Surface Elo15701770
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.00
Form trend-0.200.20
Season points per game1.671.67
Season goals for / game1.172.67
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days1920
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W9 W · 1 D
Rizespor: last 5
20 SepAGoztep2 - 2D
20 SepAGoztepe Izmir2 - 2D
12 SepAEyupspor2 - 0W
07 SepHAlanyaspor0 - 1L
29 AugAGaziantep2 - 1W
Fenerbahce: last 5
20 SepHEyupspor8 - 0W
20 SepHEyupspor8 - 0W
14 SepAGaziantep0 - 0D
05 SepHBesiktas1 - 2L
30 AugASamsunspor2 - 0W
Head to head
17 Apr 2026Fenerbahce2 - 2Rizespor
23 Nov 2025Rizespor2 - 5Fenerbahce
02 Feb 2025Fenerbahce3 - 2Rizespor
25 Aug 2024Rizespor0 - 5Fenerbahce
17 Feb 2024Rizespor1 - 3Fenerbahce
01 Oct 2023Fenerbahce5 - 0Rizespor
22 Apr 2022Rizespor0 - 6Fenerbahce
05 Dec 2021Fenerbahce4 - 0Rizespor
30 Jan 2021Fenerbahce1 - 0Rizespor
11 Sep 2020Rizespor1 - 2Fenerbahce
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.5763.7%10 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%10 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2home4.7521.1%10 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5365.4%10 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.4041.7%10 Oct 17:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC