| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 61% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.5% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Duje Ajdukovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1580 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1580 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | John Echeverria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Rocco Piatti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |