OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-18

NFL · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

New York Giants – 27 - 34 – New Orleans Saints

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	61.8%	52%	+10.2%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	61.8%	38.2%

Inputs the models saw

	New York Giants	New Orleans Saints
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.06
form diff	0.31
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.40
opponent strength diff	-0.04
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-17T17:00:00+00:00

New York Giants: last 5

11 Oct	A	Washington Commanders	27 - 27	D
04 Oct	H	Arizona Cardinals	36 - 24	W
27 Sep	H	Tennessee Titans	12 - 7	W
22 Sep	A	Los Angeles Rams	6 - 28	L
14 Sep	H	Dallas Cowboys	28 - 20	W

New Orleans Saints: last 5

11 Oct	H	Minnesota Vikings	13 - 23	L
06 Oct	H	Atlanta Falcons	24 - 45	L
27 Sep	H	Las Vegas Raiders	27 - 35	L
20 Sep	A	Baltimore Ravens	24 - 17	W
13 Sep	A	Detroit Lions	30 - 31	L

Head to head

05 Oct 2025	New Orleans Saints	26 - 14	New York Giants
08 Dec 2024	New York Giants	11 - 14	New Orleans Saints
17 Dec 2023	New Orleans Saints	24 - 6	New York Giants
03 Oct 2021	New Orleans Saints	21 - 27	New York Giants
30 Sep 2018	New York Giants	18 - 33	New Orleans Saints
18 Sep 2016	New York Giants	16 - 13	New Orleans Saints
01 Nov 2015	New Orleans Saints	52 - 49	New York Giants
09 Dec 2012	New York Giants	52 - 27	New Orleans Saints
29 Nov 2011	New Orleans Saints	49 - 24	New York Giants
18 Oct 2009	New Orleans Saints	48 - 27	New York Giants

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.96	51.0%	18 Oct 16:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.93	51.8%	18 Oct 16:20

Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC