| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.7% | 51% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.8% | 76% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.5% | 67% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 58% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.4% | 27.8% | 23.8% |
| xgboost | 43.1% | 27.4% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 26.9% | 25.8% |
| Kidderminster | Solihull | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1441 | 1333 |
| Surface Elo | 1441 | 1333 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Sutton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Sutton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Worthing | 0 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Worthing | 0 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Newcastle United U21 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Halifax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Halifax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Solihull | 0 - 1 | Kidderminster |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Kidderminster | 0 - 1 | Solihull |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |