| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.1% | 41% | +8.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 80% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.8% | 56% | +7.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 58% | +3.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.6% | 26.6% | 25.8% |
| xgboost | 38.7% | 27.9% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 43.4% | 26.1% | 30.5% |
| Woking | Harrogate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Solihull | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Solihull | 2 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Carlisle | 5 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Eastleigh | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Woking | 1 - 0 | Harrogate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |