OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
St Johnstone 1.20 2 - 1 2.00 Dundee
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 38.8%40%-1.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 72.5%77%-4.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 52.5%55%-2.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%58%-2.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.0%25.9%35.2%
xgboost33.5%31.4%35.2%
logistic36.8%30.2%33.0%
Inputs the models saw
St JohnstoneDundee
Elo (pre-match)16691644
Surface Elo16691644
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.202.00
Form trend0.400.30
Season points per game1.171.55
Season goals for / game1.251.55
Season goals against / game1.581.18
Rest days79
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 5 D
St Johnstone: last 5
31 OctAKilmarnock2 - 2D
31 OctAKilmarnock2 - 2D
28 OctHMotherwell2 - 2D
28 OctHMotherwell2 - 2D
24 OctARangers0 - 4L
Dundee: last 5
28 OctHKilmarnock3 - 1W
28 OctHKilmarnock3 - 1W
24 OctASt Mirren1 - 2L
24 OctASt Mirren1 - 2L
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
Head to head
02 Sep 2026Dundee1 - 1St Johnstone
18 May 2025St Johnstone0 - 2Dundee
01 Mar 2025Dundee1 - 1St Johnstone
05 Jan 2025St Johnstone1 - 3Dundee
26 Oct 2024Dundee1 - 2St Johnstone
30 Mar 2024St Johnstone1 - 2Dundee
11 Feb 2024Dundee2 - 1St Johnstone
02 Sep 2023St Johnstone2 - 2Dundee
23 Apr 2022Dundee1 - 1St Johnstone
26 Jan 2022St Johnstone0 - 0Dundee
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4540.8%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.6537.7%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.7736.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4828.7%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5539.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7357.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC