| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.7% | 48% | -1.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 74.2% | 77% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.2% | 66% | -5.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 56% | +4.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.9% | 30.4% | 38.7% |
| xgboost | 24.2% | 30.6% | 45.2% |
| logistic | 30.6% | 28.7% | 40.7% |
| Burton | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 10 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Peterborough United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Peterboro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Doncaster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Doncaster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Grimsby | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Leyton Orient | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Leyton Orient | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Oct | A | Rotherham | 4 - 0 | W |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Burton | 2 - 1 | Bradford |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Bradford | 1 - 2 | Burton |
| 26 Jan 2019 | Burton | 1 - 1 | Bradford |
| 21 Aug 2018 | Bradford | 1 - 0 | Burton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.77 | 56.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |