| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 76.2% | 64% | +12.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| logistic | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1763 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1763 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 25 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Flavio Cobolli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Naoya Honda | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Naoya Honda | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Mili Poljicak | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| 25 Apr 2022 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |