| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 46% | -2.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 80% | -4.4% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.9% | 62% | -7.0% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 61% | +5.2% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.7% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 28.5% | 32.9% |
| logistic | 41.9% | 25.1% | 33.0% |
| Barrow | Forest Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1390 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1390 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.40 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 2.75 |
| Rest days | 14 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Scunthorpe | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Chesham United | 5 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Chesham United | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Barrow | 1 - 2 | Forest Green |
| 24 Oct 2023 | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | Barrow |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Barrow | 4 - 0 | Forest Green |
| 23 Nov 2021 | Forest Green | 2 - 0 | Barrow |
| 27 Apr 2021 | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | Barrow |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Barrow | 2 - 2 | Forest Green |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |