| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 61% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 66.5% | 33.4% |
| logistic | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Niels Visker | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1498 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1498 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Tom Paris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Gauthier Onclin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Cado, Zaccharie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |