OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-28
🎾 ATP Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif, France Men Singles · Monday 28 September 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
Dan Added 0.00 0 - 1 1.20 Gauthier Onclin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 71.9%78%-6.2%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov36.1%63.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost18.4%81.5%
logistic36.8%63.2%
Inputs the models saw
Dan AddedGauthier Onclin
Elo (pre-match)14831601
Surface Elo14831601
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.20
Form trend0.000.60
Season points per game0.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.50
Season goals against / game2.001.50
Rest days1221
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Dan Added: last 5
15 SepAAdrian Mannarino0 - 2L
03 NovHKyrian Jacquet0 - 2L
30 SepHJiri Vesely0 - 2L
16 SepHGijs Brouwer0 - 2L
02 SepHHenrique Rocha1 - 2L
Gauthier Onclin: last 5
28 SepHSascha Gueymard Wayenburg0 - 2L
28 SepADominik Kellovsky2 - 0W
07 SepHRaphael Perot0 - 2L
17 AugHVit Kopriva0 - 2L
17 AugHTimofey Skatov2 - 1W
Head to head
06 Mar 2023Dan Added0 - 2Gauthier Onclin
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.2778.7%28 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5028.6%28 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC