| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.7% | 43% | +1.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 74% | +0.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.0% | 59% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 53% | +9.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.2% | 29.4% | 34.3% |
| xgboost | 36.8% | 26.1% | 37.0% |
| logistic | 42.7% | 27.6% | 29.7% |
| Le Havre | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Toulouse | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Angers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Brest | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Rennes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Rennes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Nice | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Lyon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Apr 2026 | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Auxerre | 0 - 1 | Le Havre |
| 04 May 2025 | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | Le Havre |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Le Havre | 3 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 07 May 2022 | Le Havre | 1 - 2 | Auxerre |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Auxerre | 2 - 3 | Le Havre |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | Le Havre |
| 01 Dec 2020 | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 06 Mar 2020 | Le Havre | 1 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Auxerre | 2 - 0 | Le Havre |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.19 | 31.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.45 | 29.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.34 | 42.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.87 | 53.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.94 | 51.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |