| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.0% | 84% | -19.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| logistic | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Benjamin Lock | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1618 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1618 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Manuel Plunger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Rafael De Alba | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Nov | H | Remy Bertola | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Juan Carlos Aguilar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Dev Javia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Van Herck, Louis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.19 | 84.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |