| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.4% | 41% | +6.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 79% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.8% | 56% | +3.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 49% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 27.6% | 29.0% |
| xgboost | 33.8% | 32.9% | 33.3% |
| logistic | 32.5% | 28.9% | 38.6% |
| Oldham | Salford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1430 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1430 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Rochdale | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Rochdale | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Chesterfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Tranmere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Rotherham | 3 - 3 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Port Vale | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Oldham | 1 - 2 | Salford |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Salford | 1 - 0 | Oldham |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Oldham | 1 - 2 | Salford |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Salford | 2 - 0 | Oldham |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Oldham | 2 - 1 | Salford |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Salford | 2 - 0 | Oldham |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Salford | 1 - 1 | Oldham |
| 29 Dec 2019 | Oldham | 1 - 4 | Salford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.03 | 49.3% | 26 Sep 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |