| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| logistic | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Jakub Mensik | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1944 | 1842 |
| Surface Elo | 1944 | 1842 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.58 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Alex Molcan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Jakub Mensik |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||