| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 64% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 79.9% | 84% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.6% | 82% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 63% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.3% | 23.9% | 25.8% |
| xgboost | 55.7% | 17.6% | 26.7% |
| logistic | 60.5% | 22.3% | 17.2% |
| Boston Utd | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1397 | 1303 |
| Surface Elo | 1397 | 1303 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 0.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 3.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 2 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Southampton | 5 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Southend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Stafford Rangers | 0 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Boston Utd | 1 - 0 | Gateshead |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Gateshead | 1 - 3 | Boston Utd |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Boston Utd | 2 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Gateshead | 2 - 0 | Boston Utd |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.80 | 20.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |