| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 59% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.9% | 54.5% |
| xgboost | 47.7% | 51.4% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| San Jose Sharks | Buffalo Sabres | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1524 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1524 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.08 | 2.82 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.58 | 3.73 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 4 - 6 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Ottawa Senators | 6 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 3 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 3 - 4 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 4 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 4 | L |
| 20 Mar 2026 | San Jose Sharks | 0 - 5 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| 05 Mar 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 6 | San Jose Sharks |
| 24 Nov 2024 | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 27 Oct 23:20 |