| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.1% | 16% | +37.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 77.2% | 36% | +41.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.1% | 19% | +50.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 68% | -19.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 18.6% | 25.5% | 55.8% |
| xgboost | 31.5% | 22.2% | 46.3% |
| logistic | 22.5% | 29.4% | 48.1% |
| Forfar | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1402 | 1624 |
| Surface Elo | 1402 | 1624 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Peterhead | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Annan Athletic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Annan Athletic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Spartans | 1 - 5 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Stranraer | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Edinburgh City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | St Mirren | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | St Mirren | 3 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Falkirk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Sep | A | Motherwell | 0 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.30 | 15.9% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |