| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.8% | 30% | +22.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 47.1% | 52.8% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Francesco Maestrelli | Nagel, Arthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Arthur Nagel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Alafia Ayeni | 2 - 1 | W |
| No results yet. |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |