| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.5% | 41% | +15.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 79.6% | 79% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 69.9% | 56% | +13.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 54% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 45.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.4% | 30.1% | 40.5% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 24.7% | 45.4% |
| logistic | 26.4% | 28.3% | 45.3% |
| Gillingham | Cambridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1410 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1410 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Bristol Rovers | 3 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Tranmere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Rochdale | 4 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Burton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 01 Sep | A | Bradford | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Cambridge | 5 - 0 | Gillingham |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | Cambridge |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Gillingham | 1 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 28 Sep 2021 | Cambridge | 0 - 2 | Gillingham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.87 | 53.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |