| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.7% | 41% | +8.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 78% | -3.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.8% | 57% | +7.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 42.4% | 53% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.4% | 26.8% | 41.8% |
| xgboost | 29.2% | 29.1% | 41.7% |
| logistic | 30.0% | 27.6% | 42.3% |
| Sutton | Forest Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1408 | 1490 |
| Surface Elo | 1408 | 1490 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Eastleigh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Scunthorpe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Barrow | 0 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Carlisle | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Gateshead | 4 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Hornchurch | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Sutton | 1 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 20 Aug 2025 | Forest Green | 4 - 0 | Sutton |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Forest Green | 2 - 1 | Sutton |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Sutton | 1 - 2 | Forest Green |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Forest Green | 0 - 1 | Sutton |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Sutton | 0 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Sutton | 1 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Forest Green | 2 - 1 | Sutton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.89 | 52.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |