OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ National League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Boston Utd 1.00 1 - 2 2.00 Southend
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 53.6%55%-1.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.2%83%-5.7%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 68.5%72%-3.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.6%69%-9.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.6%24.6%48.8%
xgboost21.2%21.2%57.6%
logistic25.1%26.0%48.8%
Inputs the models saw
Boston UtdSouthend
Elo (pre-match)14251561
Surface Elo14251561
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.002.00
Form trend0.400.20
Season points per game1.002.00
Season goals for / game1.172.42
Season goals against / game1.751.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W1 W · 2 D
Boston Utd: last 5
03 OctAYeovil0 - 6L
03 OctAYeovil0 - 6L
29 SepAHalifax1 - 1D
29 SepAHalifax1 - 1D
26 SepHFylde0 - 1L
Southend: last 5
03 OctHFylde3 - 1W
03 OctHFylde3 - 1W
30 SepAEastleigh1 - 1D
30 SepAEastleigh1 - 1D
26 SepHBarrow2 - 4L
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Boston Utd3 - 3Southend
13 Sep 2025Southend1 - 1Boston Utd
25 Mar 2025Boston Utd3 - 0Southend
20 Aug 2024Southend2 - 0Boston Utd
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.6759.9%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw4.1024.4%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.9025.6%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4469.4%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.7037.0%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.8354.6%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.7027.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4569.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC