| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.5% | 82% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| logistic | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Zsombor Piros | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1790 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1790 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 27 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Max Schoenhaus | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 2 | Zsombor Piros |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.15 | 24.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |