| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.4% | 37% | +13.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.6% | 79% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.5% | 51% | +14.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 52% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.1% | 26.6% | 40.3% |
| xgboost | 27.1% | 28.4% | 44.5% |
| logistic | 25.2% | 28.5% | 46.2% |
| Tranmere | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1341 | 1446 |
| Surface Elo | 1341 | 1446 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Exeter | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Exeter | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Gillingham | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Oldham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 6 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Rochdale | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Exeter | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Tranmere | 1 - 3 | Walsall |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Walsall | 4 - 2 | Tranmere |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Walsall | 5 - 1 | Tranmere |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Tranmere | 1 - 0 | Walsall |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Tranmere | 1 - 3 | Walsall |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Walsall | 1 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | Walsall |
| 24 Sep 2022 | Walsall | 0 - 1 | Tranmere |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Walsall | 1 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Tranmere | 1 - 0 | Walsall |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.82 | 35.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |