OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Serie B · Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Cesena 1.00 1 - 0 0.60 Catanzaro
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.1%48%-4.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.8%78%-3.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.3%67%-7.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.3%56%-2.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.3%26.9%35.8%
xgboost48.5%27.1%24.4%
logistic41.4%29.0%29.6%
Inputs the models saw
CesenaCatanzaro
Elo (pre-match)14071412
Surface Elo14071412
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.60
Form trend-0.40-0.20
Season points per game1.200.60
Season goals for / game1.101.10
Season goals against / game1.402.20
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 0 D
Cesena: last 5
31 OctASudtirol1 - 1D
31 OctASudtirol1 - 1D
27 OctHEmpoli2 - 1W
27 OctHEmpoli2 - 1W
24 OctAModena0 - 3L
Catanzaro: last 5
07 NovHAscoli1 - 1D
31 OctHPadova1 - 1D
31 OctHPadova1 - 1D
31 OctAPalermo2 - 2D
28 OctAAc Milan1 - 2L
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Cesena3 - 1Catanzaro
27 Dec 2025Catanzaro2 - 0Cesena
01 Feb 2025Catanzaro4 - 2Cesena
28 Aug 2024Cesena2 - 0Catanzaro
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.0025.0%07 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%07 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.8653.8%07 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%07 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%07 Nov 14:00
SportyBet1X2away3.4029.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7557.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC