| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.8% | 65% | -11.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.2% | 87% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.8% | 82% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 43% | +13.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 25.1% | 27.5% |
| xgboost | 56.6% | 24.2% | 19.2% |
| logistic | 59.1% | 24.5% | 16.3% |
| Reading | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.60 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Wigan | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Wigan | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Blackpool | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Blackpool | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Plymouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Leyton Orient | 3 - 1 | Reading |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Reading | 2 - 1 | Leyton Orient |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Leyton Orient | 2 - 0 | Reading |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Reading | 0 - 1 | Leyton Orient |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Reading | 1 - 1 | Leyton Orient |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Leyton Orient | 2 - 1 | Reading |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |