OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ Scotland Challenge Cup · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Peterhead 0.20 0 - 1 0.80 Elgin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.0%53%-4.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.0%82%-7.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 62.1%71%-8.6%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.6%71%-14.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson42.2%25.4%32.5%
xgboost40.1%30.0%29.8%
logistic38.6%26.5%35.0%
Inputs the models saw
PeterheadElgin
Elo (pre-match)13831354
Surface Elo13831354
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.80
Form trend0.100.50
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game2.003.00
Season goals against / game0.000.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Peterhead: last 5
22 SepAForfar2 - 0W
19 SepHAirdrie Utd1 - 2L
19 SepHAirdrieonians FC1 - 2L
12 SepAEast Kilbride1 - 3L
05 SepHMontrose0 - 3L
Elgin: last 5
22 SepHDundee3 - 0W
19 SepHStranraer1 - 5L
19 SepHStranraer1 - 5L
12 SepAAnnan Athletic0 - 2L
05 SepADumbarton1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Apr 2025Elgin4 - 0Peterhead
01 Mar 2025Peterhead2 - 0Elgin
28 Dec 2024Elgin2 - 0Peterhead
05 Oct 2024Peterhead0 - 1Elgin
20 Apr 2024Elgin1 - 1Peterhead
24 Feb 2024Peterhead1 - 1Elgin
30 Dec 2023Elgin2 - 1Peterhead
30 Sep 2023Peterhead6 - 0Elgin
20 Apr 2019Elgin1 - 2Peterhead
02 Mar 2019Peterhead1 - 0Elgin
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.5028.6%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8753.5%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4071.4%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.8035.7%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC