| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.8% | 47% | +6.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.1% | 46.8% |
| logistic | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Patrick Schoen | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.38 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Patrick Schoen | 0 - 2 | Svyatoslav Gulin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |