| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 60% | -4.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| logistic | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1407 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1407 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Vrba, Jakub | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Kai Wehnelt | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |