| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.4% | 81% | -18.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| logistic | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Fermin Tenti | Mariano Kestelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1424 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1424 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 77 | 161 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Jul | H | Nicolas Mejia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Nick Hardt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | H | Mariano Kestelboim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | A | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | Victor Lilov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Feb | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Fermin Tenti | 0 - 2 | Mariano Kestelboim |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |