OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
🇪🇸 La Liga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Valencia 0.80 0 - 0 1.60 Athletic Club
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.0%44%+2.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.3%74%+1.7%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 58.1%61%-3.3%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.5%57%-1.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson36.4%28.8%34.9%
xgboost33.1%24.0%42.9%
logistic31.4%28.3%40.4%
Inputs the models saw
ValenciaAthletic Club
Elo (pre-match)16051609
Surface Elo16051609
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.60
Form trend-0.200.00
Season points per game0.631.33
Season goals for / game0.751.17
Season goals against / game1.881.00
Rest days628
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Valencia: last 5
11 OctASantander2 - 2D
11 OctASantander2 - 2D
10 OctAElche1 - 4L
04 OctHSCR Pena Deportiva3 - 2W
20 SepHSociedad2 - 3L
Athletic Club: last 5
11 OctHReal Union de Irun0 - 0D
04 OctHExtremadura UD1 - 3L
02 OctASociedad1 - 0W
26 SepAArenas Club Getxo3 - 0W
20 SepHRC Deportivo Fabril2 - 2D
Head to head
10 May 2026Athletic Club0 - 1Valencia
20 Sep 2025Valencia2 - 0Athletic Club
18 May 2025Valencia0 - 1Athletic Club
28 Aug 2024Athletic Club1 - 0Valencia
20 Jan 2024Valencia1 - 0Athletic Club
29 Oct 2023Athletic Club2 - 2Valencia
11 Feb 2023Valencia1 - 2Athletic Club
21 Aug 2022Athletic Club1 - 0Valencia
07 May 2022Athletic Club0 - 0Valencia
25 Sep 2021Valencia1 - 1Athletic Club
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.3043.5%17 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2draw3.2031.2%17 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2home3.2530.8%17 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.1047.6%17 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7357.8%17 Oct 20:00
SportyBet1X2away2.3941.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3829.6%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2630.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7756.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 23:29 UTC