| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.0% | 74% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 25.9% | 74.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.5% | 62.4% |
| logistic | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Federico Cina | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1595 | 1878 |
| Surface Elo | 1595 | 1878 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Alex Molcan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Federico Cina | 0 - 2 | Jaume Munar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |