OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Fleetwood Town 0.40 2 - 0 1.00 Rotherham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.6%46%+3.5%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 76.6%76%+0.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 66.1%64%+2.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.1%53%+2.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.2%25.1%25.7%
xgboost39.0%33.4%27.6%
logistic50.0%27.5%22.6%
Inputs the models saw
Fleetwood TownRotherham
Elo (pre-match)14221365
Surface Elo14221365
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.401.00
Form trend0.000.50
Season points per game1.101.00
Season goals for / game1.001.20
Season goals against / game1.101.60
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 1 D
Fleetwood Town: last 5
10 OctHWalsall1 - 1D
10 OctHWalsall1 - 1D
06 OctHBarnsley4 - 1W
03 OctASalford0 - 1L
03 OctASalford0 - 1L
Rotherham: last 5
10 OctHGillingham1 - 4L
10 OctHGillingham1 - 4L
06 OctHBradford0 - 4L
03 OctAExeter0 - 1L
03 OctAExeter0 - 1L
Head to head
15 Jan 2022Fleetwood Town1 - 0Rotherham
11 Sep 2021Rotherham2 - 4Fleetwood Town
21 Dec 2019Rotherham2 - 2Fleetwood Town
07 Apr 2018Rotherham3 - 2Fleetwood Town
05 Aug 2017Fleetwood Town2 - 0Rotherham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.2023.8%17 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%17 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home1.7955.9%17 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8554.0%17 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9551.3%17 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away3.1032.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8952.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC