| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.5% | 55% | -13.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.7% | 78% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.9% | 72% | -18.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 64% | +7.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.2% | 25.0% | 40.8% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 23.6% | 30.9% |
| logistic | 38.9% | 27.2% | 33.9% |
| Sociedad | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1643 | 1748 |
| Surface Elo | 1643 | 1748 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Athletic Club | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Athletic Club | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Girona | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Levante | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Levante | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Angers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Angers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Nice | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.79 | 20.9% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.27 | 23.4% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |