| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.9% | 32% | +11.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 71.8% | 81% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.6% | 44% | +12.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 51% | +4.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.5% | 28.1% | 43.4% |
| xgboost | 37.1% | 28.4% | 34.5% |
| logistic | 32.6% | 38.6% | 28.8% |
| Reggiana | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1366 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1366 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 161 | 3074 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | SEF Torres Sassari | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Vicenza | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Spezia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Perugia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Latina Calcio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Lecco | 0 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Brescia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Carpi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | AS Giana Erminio | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Sep | A | AC Trento | 0 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |