OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Motherwell 0.00 0 - 2 1.40 Hearts
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 49.8%48%+2.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.7%80%-3.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.7%64%+0.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.1%60%+0.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 59.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson35.9%25.9%38.2%
xgboost22.4%22.1%55.5%
logistic22.6%27.3%50.1%
Inputs the models saw
MotherwellHearts
Elo (pre-match)16531791
Surface Elo16531791
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.40
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game0.891.78
Season goals for / game1.222.22
Season goals against / game1.781.67
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W5 W · 4 D
Motherwell: last 5
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
11 OctHCeltic0 - 2L
11 OctHCeltic0 - 2L
26 SepABonnyrigg Rose0 - 3L
Hearts: last 5
18 OctACeltic1 - 7L
10 OctHSt Mirren5 - 0W
19 SepAKilmarnock1 - 1D
15 SepAFalkirk1 - 2L
06 SepHDundee2 - 1W
Head to head
09 May 2026Motherwell1 - 1Hearts
11 Apr 2026Hearts3 - 1Motherwell
29 Nov 2025Motherwell0 - 0Hearts
23 Aug 2025Hearts3 - 3Motherwell
10 May 2025Hearts3 - 0Motherwell
12 Apr 2025Motherwell0 - 0Hearts
02 Jan 2025Hearts1 - 0Motherwell
25 Aug 2024Motherwell3 - 1Hearts
17 Feb 2024Hearts2 - 0Motherwell
11 Nov 2023Motherwell1 - 2Hearts
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.8155.2%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home3.7027.0%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3842.0%25 Oct 14:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC